Texas State
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 91.4606Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Lamar 34-27 907 H UTSA American ( 6- 6, 90.3) 49-10 912 H Arizona St B12 (11- 2, 96.3) 28-31 928 A SHouston St CUSA ( 9- 3, 89.8) 39-40 1003 A Troy SUN ( 4- 8, 89.1) 38-17 1012 H Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 5, 90.2) 41- 9 1019 A Old Dominion SUN ( 5- 7, 91.1) 14-24 1029 H Louisiana SUN (10- 3, 93.2) 17-23 1109 A La-Monroe SUN ( 5- 7, 89.5) 38-17 1116 H So Miss SUN ( 1-11, 83.8) 58- 3 1123 H Georgia St SUN ( 3- 9, 88.6) 44-52 1129 A So Alabama SUN ( 6- 6, 90.4) 45-38
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
907 H UTSA 49-10 39 2 + 2.93
912 H Arizona St 28-31 -3 -4 0.89
928 A SHouston St 39-40 -1 1 -1.72
1003 A Troy 38-17 21 1 + 3.55
1012 H Arkansas State 41- 9 32 2 + 2.80
1019 A Old Dominion 14-24 -10 -1 -- -4.41
1029 H Louisiana 17-23 -6 -1 -- -4.15
1109 A La-Monroe 38-17 21 1 + 3.99
1116 H So Miss 58- 3 55 9 0.00
1123 H Georgia St 44-52 -8 4 --- -8.75
1129 A So Alabama 45-38 7 0 ++ 4.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 H Georgia St 44-52 -8 4 --- -8.75 1019 A Old Dominion 14-24 -10 -1 -- -4.41 1029 H Louisiana 17-23 -6 -1 -- -4.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A So Alabama 45-38 7 0 ++ 4.86 907 H UTSA 49-10 39 2 + 2.93 1003 A Troy 38-17 21 1 + 3.55 1012 H Arkansas State 41- 9 32 2 + 2.80 1109 A La-Monroe 38-17 21 1 + 3.99 |
Texas State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia Tech | |
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Va Tech | |
| Wake Forest | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Army | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Ea Carolina | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Texas State | |
| Fla Atlantic | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Memphis | Memphis | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | Texas State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Texas State | |
| Rice | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Texas State | |
| So Florida | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Temple | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | Texas State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Texas State | |
| UAB | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| UTSA | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Arizona | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Kansas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas | |
| Kansas St | Kansas St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas St | |
| Oklahoma St | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | UCF | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | UCF | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Jacksonv. St | Texas State | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Texas State | |
| Kennesaw St | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Texas State | |
| Liberty | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| La Tech | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Middle Tenn | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| NM St | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| SHouston St | SHouston St | SHouston St | ||
| UTEP | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| We Kentucky | Texas State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| UMass | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | Texas State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Akron | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Ball St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Bowl. Green | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Buffalo | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Cen Michigan | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Ea Michigan | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Kent State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| MiamiOH | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| No Illinois | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Ohio | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Toledo | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| We Michigan | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Air Force | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Hawaii | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Nevada | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| New Mexico | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| San Diego St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Wyoming | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Oregon St | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Texas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas State | |
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Texas State | |
| Arkansas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Coastal Car | Texas State | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Texas State | |
| Georgia So | Georgia So | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Georgia So | |
| Georgia St | Georgia St | Georgia St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Miss | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| So Alabama | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| La-Monroe | Texas State | Texas State |
PowerWise = 57
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H UTSA ( 6- 6, 90.3) 49-10 -9.60 8.65 -0.91 1.10 8.52
0 H Arizona St (11- 2, 96.3) 28-31 -3.64 14.61 -0.91 1.10 -5.01
0 A SHouston St ( 9- 3, 89.8) 39-40 -10.06 8.20 0.91 1.10 -10.07
0 A Troy ( 4- 8, 89.1) 38-17 -10.79 7.46 0.91 1.10 9.21
0 H Arkansas State ( 7- 5, 90.2) 41- 9 -9.74 8.52 -0.91 1.10 8.38
0 A Old Dominion ( 5- 7, 91.1) 14-24 -8.75 9.50 0.91 1.10 -8.64
0 H Louisiana (10- 3, 93.2) 17-23 -6.68 11.57 -0.91 1.10 -8.35
0 A La-Monroe ( 5- 7, 89.5) 38-17 -10.35 7.90 0.91 1.10 9.69
0 H So Miss ( 1-11, 83.8) 58- 3 -16.09 2.16 -0.91 1.10 1.39
0 H Georgia St ( 3- 9, 88.6) 44-52 -11.29 6.97 -0.91 1.10 -13.42
0 A So Alabama ( 6- 6, 90.4) 45-38 -9.49 8.77 0.91 1.10 10.65
------
2.36
|
winning pts = 47.8398 losing points = -45.4841
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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